Inā mākou e nānā i ka hapa nui o nā kaua o nā makahiki 50 i hala iho nei, ʻike mākou ʻaʻole lākou e pōkole. A inā mākou e nānā i ka mōʻaukala pūʻali koa holoʻokoʻa o ka honua, hiki iā mākou ke ʻike i nā kaua o ka nui a mākou e ʻike nei ma Ukraine he lōʻihi.
Ke'ōlelo nei nā kānaka a pau: "E mau ke kaua ma Ukraine no nā makahiki". ʻO ka mea hope loa i hana pēlā ʻo ia ʻo Jens Stoltenberg, ke kākau ʻōlelo nui o NATO, ma kahi ninaninau me ka nūpepa Kelemania. kiʻi ma ka lā Sābati.
Eia naʻe, inā mākou e noʻonoʻo e pili ana i ia mea, ʻike maopopo ʻia e mau ana kēia kaua no nā makahiki. ʻAʻole ʻo ia "no ka mea ʻaʻohe ʻaoʻao i makemake e pōkole ke kaua", ʻoiai ke maʻa nei kekahi poʻe ma ka hema i ka ʻōlelo. ʻAʻole, ʻaʻole no ia mea, ʻoiai ʻaʻohe kumu o kēlā kumu.
No ka mea hoʻokahi, makemake nā ʻaoʻao ʻelua i ka hakakā (Ukraine a me Russia) i kahi hakakā pōkole. Ke kaua nei ʻo Ukraine i mea e kaupalena ʻia ai ka pōʻino a me ka ʻeha i hana ʻia e kēia kaua i ka hiki. A no nā kumu hoʻolālā ʻē aʻe e pili ana i ka hoʻoikaika kaua. A ʻo Rusia no kona makemake e puka i waho o kēia kaua e like me ka lanakila, a ʻaʻole kōkua ke kaua lōʻihi i kēlā, akā no ke kumu hoʻi i makemake ai e puka i waho o kēia kaua me ka pūʻali koa a me ka hoʻokele waiwai e like me ka liʻiliʻi loa. hiki.
A no ka ʻāpana ʻelua, ʻaʻohe mea i loko o ka hui NATO e makemake i ka hāʻule ʻana o ka hoʻokele waiwai a kēia kaua. E like me ka ʻōlelo ʻana a kekahi poʻe e pōmaikaʻi paha kekahi mau ʻāina mai ka hoʻohaunaele ʻana i ke kālepa honua, ʻaʻole pololei kēlā. ʻO ke kumukūʻai o ka hoʻohaunaele e ʻoi aku ma mua o ka loaʻa ʻana o ka ʻāina i loaʻa ma muli o kēia kaua. ʻO ka ʻoiaʻiʻo o ka hoʻomaka ʻana o ʻAmelika e hoʻokuʻu aku i ka aila a me ke kinoea i ʻEulopa, ʻaʻole ia e hilinaʻi nui ʻia ʻo Wall Street i ka wā e hiki mai ana o ka hoʻokele waiwai ʻAmelika.
No laila ʻaʻole, ʻaʻole wau e kamaʻilio e pili ana i kahi kipi NATO ma aneʻi, e hoʻolōʻihi i ke kaua ma mua o ka pono. E hoʻohālikelike wale au i kēia kaua me nā kaua ʻē aʻe o ka mōʻaukala. Ma ka hoʻāʻo e wehewehe i ke kumu, ʻaʻohe kumu e manaʻo ai e pōkole kēia kaua.
ʻO kekahi hiʻohiʻona i hāpai ʻia i kēia manawa no nā kumu maopopo ʻo ia ka hoʻouka kaua ʻana o ka USSR ma Afghanistan i ka makahiki 1979. ʻOiai he hewa kēia hoʻohālikelike, ʻoiai ʻo ka ʻāina mauna ʻo Afghan kahi kokoke i kahi antithesis o ka ʻāina ʻo Ukrainian pālahalaha, hiki iā mākou ke ʻike i ke kumu o kēia kaua. hiki ke loaʻa i ka nui o ka turnout e like me ka USSR i 1979. Ma kahi ʻaʻohe mauna kahi e hiki ai i nā koa Ukrainian ke pale aku iā lākou iho mai ka hoʻouka kaua ʻana i ka ea a me ka ʻāina, aia nā kūlanakauhale. ʻOiaʻiʻo, alakaʻi kēia i ke kumukūʻai kanaka kiʻekiʻe loa.
A inā makemake ʻoe i kekahi hiʻohiʻona nui, loaʻa iā mākou ka hoʻouka kaua ʻana o ʻAmelika iā Iraq. ʻOi aku ka maikaʻi o kēia hoʻohālikelike e pili ana i kekahi mau mea. ʻO kekahi, ʻo nā pūʻali koa Iraqi a me Ukrainian he mau pūʻali koa, ʻaʻole wale nā pūʻali koa a me nā koa guerrilla. A ʻo ka lua, e pili ana i ka ʻāina, ʻoi aku ka like o Iraq me Ukraine ma mua o Afghanistan, ʻo ia hoʻi ka hapa nui. Eia naʻe, ʻokoʻa loa ka hoʻouka kaua ʻana o US ma mua o ka hoʻouka kaua ʻana o Rūsia. ʻOiai me nā hemahema a me nā hewa a pau, ua lanakila ka US a me nā pūʻali Pelekania i ka ʻāina ma kahi o hoʻokahi mahina, e hoʻokō ana i kā lākou mau pahuhopu kaua āpau (e pili ana i ka pae hoʻouka kaua, ʻoiaʻiʻo). Ua hāʻule mua nā pūʻali Lūkini i ka nui o kā lākou mau pahuhopu kaua. Ke hoʻāʻo nei lākou e hana i kahi hoʻoholo hoʻoholo i nā laina ʻenemi no kahi kokoke i 5 mau mahina i kēia manawa a ʻaʻohe o lākou manaʻo pehea e pau ai kēia kaua.
ʻAe, ʻo ka hapa nui o nā kaua aʻu i ʻōlelo ai (Afghanistan a me Iraq) ua lōʻihi ma muli o ke kūlana post-invasion/occupation, a i kēia manawa ʻaʻole loaʻa iā Rūsia nā mea e pono ai e noho pono iā Ukraine. Akā naʻe, inā e hoʻokele ʻo Rūsia i kahi pana i ka ʻāina ʻo Donbas, pono ia e neʻe i Kiev a pēlā aku. A ʻo ia, e like me kā mākou e ʻike nei, e lōʻihi ka manawa (inā loaʻa ia).
Akā, ke manaʻo nei au ʻaʻole pono mākou i nā hoʻohālikelike, a i ʻole nā hoʻohālikelike kikoʻī. No ka mea, ʻo ka ʻoiaʻiʻo nui aʻu e makemake ai e hōʻike-ʻo kaʻu kumu nui no kēia thesis-he maʻalahi: ʻAʻohe kaua like me kēia, ua pōkole. ʻO ka mea ʻē aʻe, ke ulu nei lākou a lōʻihi.
A ke manaʻoʻiʻo nei au he ʻoiaʻiʻo kēia, ʻoiai ʻaʻole mākou e ʻike i kahi pōmaikaʻi ma kekahi ʻaoʻao, a i ʻole ka hopena kūleʻa, etc.
