Ma Dekemaba 1, ua nīnau ʻo Robin Brooks, ka luna hoʻokele waiwai a me ka luna hoʻokele o ka Institute of International Finance, "Pono ʻoe e noʻonoʻo i ka mea e hana nei ma EU. ʻO ka hoʻouka kaua ʻana o Putin iā Ukraine he mea weliweli nui ia i nā mea āpau a ka EU e kū nei. Akā he nui nā hiʻohiʻona e like me kēia: ʻo ka hoʻoiho ʻana o EU i Armenia ua piʻi 200% mai ka hoʻouka ʻana. Hele kēia mea i Rusia a kōkua iā Putin. He aha ka hana a Brussels?"
ʻOiai, hoʻokahi wale nō lā ma mua, i ka lā 30 o Nowemapa, ua ʻōlelo ʻo The Economist "Me he mea lā e lanakila ana ʻo Putin i ke kaua ma Ukraine-i kēia manawa." Ua hōʻike kēia ʻatikala i ka hiki ʻole o ke Komohana i ka hoʻokō ʻana i nā hoʻopaʻi kūpono e kūʻē iā Rūsia a ua kapa ʻia kekahi mau ʻāina i hāʻawi i ka lima kōkua i ko lākou hoa pili: Turkey, Kazakhstan, Iran, a me North Korea.
ʻAʻole i hopohopo nui ʻia e nā hoʻopaʻi Komohana, ua lanakila ʻo Rūsia iā lākou ma ka loaʻa ʻana o nā drones mai Iran, nā pū mai North Korea, a me nā waiwai like ʻole ma o Turkey a me Kazakhstan. Me he mea lā pōkole loa ka papa inoa, ʻaʻole i komo pū me Armenia i ʻōlelo ʻia ma luna. ʻO kēia ʻāina, e like me nā kumu he nui, ʻo ia kekahi o nā hoa koʻikoʻi o Rūsia i ka loaʻa ʻana o nā waiwai like ʻole mai ka EU a me Asia Hikina mai Pepeluali 2022.
No ka laʻana, ʻaʻole hana ʻo Armenia i nā kaʻa, akā e like me ka Ua ʻike ʻia ka Financial Times i Iulai 2023, ua piʻi aʻe ka hoʻokuʻu ʻana o nā kaʻa mai ʻAmenia a i Rusia mai $800,000 i Ianuali 2022 a ʻoi aku ma mua o $180 miliona i ka mahina like o 2023.
ʻAʻole naʻe nā kaʻa wale nō: nā microchips, nā kelepona a me nā mea waiwai ʻē aʻe e komo i Rūsia ma o Armenia. He hōʻike e ka European Bank for Reconstruction and Development memo "Ua hoʻokumu ʻia nā kaulahao lako hou ma Armenia […] He hui olelo e ka US Department of Justice, the Department of Commerce, a me ka US Treasury i hoʻokaʻawale iā ʻAmenia ma ke ʻano he "ʻekolu ʻaoʻao waena a i ʻole nā wahi transshipment e pale aku i nā hoʻopaʻi a me nā mana hoʻokuʻu aku."
He mea nui e hoʻomaopopo ia ma kahi o 40 pakeneka o nā mea hoʻokuʻu aku o Armenia e hele i Rusia, me ka nui o ke kālepa e hoʻopuka hou ana i nā waiwai o ke Komohana i hikiʻole iā Moscow ke loaʻa pololei. Wahi a ke keʻena helu helu moku'āina o Armenia, kokoke pālua ke kālepa ma waena o Armenia a me Russia i ka makahiki 2022, a hiki i $ 5.3 biliona. ʻO ka hoʻokuʻu ʻia ʻana o Armenia i Rūsia ua aneane ʻekolu, e piʻi ana mai $ 850 miliona ma 2021 a i $ 2.4 biliona i 2022 a me $ 2.8 biliona i 2023. Ua hoʻonui ʻia nā mea lawe mai Russia mai 151 pakeneka i $ 2.87 biliona. ʻO ka nui o ke kālepa no Ianuali-ʻAukake 2023 i ʻoi aku ma mua o $ 4.16 biliona., ʻO nā mea kūʻai aku ʻo Armenia i Rūsia he $ 2.3 biliona i kēia manawa, ʻoi aku ka nui o ka lawe ʻana mai no ka manawa mua, he $ 1.86 biliona.
Wahi a ka US Treasury Department, Ua kōkua ʻo Armenia i ka Russian Federation ʻaʻole wale i ka lawe ʻana mai i nā waiwai kīwila, akā i ke kūʻai ʻana aku i nā lako kaua.
Ua paʻi ʻia ka ʻike kikoʻī e pili ana i ke komo ʻana o kahi hui Armenia i ke kūʻai ʻana i nā mea hana haole no ka ʻoihana kaua Lūkini. ʻO ka hui, i kapa ʻia ʻo Aurora Group, i ʻōlelo ʻia ua kūʻai aku i nā ʻāpana uila koʻikoʻi mai nā mea hoʻolako o ke Komohana a laila hoʻihoʻi hou iā lākou i Rūsia me ka hōʻole ʻana i nā palena mana hoʻokuʻu.
Wahi a Bloomberg, aia hoike ʻO nā ʻāpana mea hana ʻEulopa e hoʻouna ʻia ana ma Armenia no ka hoʻohana ʻana i ka hana pūʻali koa Lūkini.
Hōʻike ka hōʻike i nā palapala e pili ana i ka hoʻouna ʻana a me nā nīnauele me nā poʻe loea o ka ʻoihana e like me ka hōʻike ʻana he hana koʻikoʻi ʻo Armenia i ke kōkua ʻana iā Rūsia e haʻalele i nā hoʻopaʻi a mālama i kāna mau pūʻali koa.
The Telegraph olelo ʻO ka ulu ʻana o ka hoʻokele waiwai ma Armenia ua hiki i ka 13 pakeneka hiki ʻole i ka makahiki 2022, e lilo ia i moho no ke kolu o ka ulu wikiwiki ʻana o ka hoʻokele waiwai ma ka honua.
Ua paʻi pū ka nūpepa i kahi hōʻike e ka German Center for the South Caucasus, "e hōʻike ana i ka piʻi ʻana o nā mea hoʻopuka mai Kelemānia a hiki i Armenia mai ka € 178 miliona a i ka € 505 miliona ma 2022. ʻO ia mai kahi ʻāina EU wale nō. ʻO ka hoʻokuʻu ʻana mai Armenia i ka EU i nā mahina he ʻumikumamālua i pālua ʻia mai ka € 753 miliona a i ka € 1.3 biliona.
Me ka heluna kanaka he ʻekolu miliona a me ka GDP no kēlā me kēia kapita ma lalo o ka hapaʻumi o ka awelika Briton, he mau helu hiki ʻole kēia. Akā ʻoiaʻiʻo lākou. ʻO ka mea maopopo loa, ʻo ka lawe ʻana mai a me ka hoʻokuʻu ʻana mai Rūsia - ʻo ia ka uku a me ka uku ʻole ma waena o nā ʻāina ʻo EAEU a pau, ke hoʻohuli ʻia nei i waho o ka honua ma o kā lākou mau moku'āina.
E like me ka Jamestown Foundation, "ʻo ka piʻi nui ʻana o ka huli ʻana o nā kālepa ʻē aʻe o Armenia me ka ʻole o ke kumu waiwai koʻikoʻi ma ka ʻāina, ʻoi aku ka nui o ka piʻi nui ʻana o nā hoʻokuʻu aku i Rusia, a me ka papa inoa o nā huahana i kūʻai mua ʻia, e hāʻawi i ke kumu e noʻonoʻo ai he mea hana maoli kēia mau dynamics a ʻo Armenia pololei. komo i ka lawe hou ʻana i nā huahana i hoʻopaʻa ʻia i Russia.
Eia kekahi, e like me ka US Bureau of Industry and Security, ua hoʻonui ʻo Armenia i ka lawe ʻana mai o nā microchips a me nā mea hana mai ka US e 515% a mai ka European Union e 212% - a laila ua hōʻike ʻia ua lawe aku ʻo 97% o ia mau huahana i Russia".
Wahi a ka nūpepa Polani ʻEulopa Hikina Hou, Ke kōkua nei ʻo Yerevan iā Moscow e ʻalo i nā hoʻopaʻi EU, US, a me UK ma o ka hoʻomaʻamaʻa ʻana i ka neʻe ʻana o nā drones Iranian a me nā missiles.
Hōʻike ka makasina i nā ʻikepili hana ma nā mokulele mai Yerevan's Zvartnots International Airport, kahi i lawe ʻia ai ka mokulele Soviet Ilyushin-76MD i nā drones Iran i Russia. Ua ʻike ʻia ʻo Iran Air Cargo, ka hui i ʻae ʻia e ka US, e holo ana i nā mokulele ma ke kahua mokulele ʻo Yerevan a mai Moscow, me nā hui Iranian ʻē aʻe i hoʻopili ʻia i ka hāʻawi ʻana i nā drones Iran i Russia ma o nā mokulele Armenia.
Wahi a nā kumu Ukrainian, ua ikaika ʻo Armenia me ka hoʻohana ' ʻO ke ala moana e pili ana i nā awa o Batumi (Georgia) a me Novorossiysk (Russia) e hoʻokuʻu hou aku i nā waiwai i hoʻopaʻa ʻia i ka Russian Federation. No laila, ʻo ka Armenian Shipping Company ke kuleana no ka lawe ʻana i kēlā me kēia pule o nā pahu 600 ma ke ala moana ʻo Batumi-Novorossiysk.
Ua ʻōlelo pū ke Kuhina Nui ʻo Latvian Krišjānis Kariņš e pili ana i ka ulu ʻana o Armenia i ka lawe ʻana aku i nā lako a me nā ʻenehana Komohana i ʻae ʻia i Rusia.
Eia naʻe, ʻaʻole i kaupalena ʻia nā neʻe o Yerevan i kēia pāʻani i ka hoʻoili ʻenehana. Ua kuhikuhi ʻo Kariņš ʻelua mau ala e hana ai i kēia: e kamaʻilio iā Armenia mai ia mea a i ʻole "e ʻimi i ke kānāwai ma waena o ʻEulopa, e ʻike pono mākou e hana hewa i ka pale ʻana. E pani i nā puka!", - koi ʻo ia. Hana nā hoʻopaʻi, ʻO ka pilikia, pono lākou e hoʻokō ʻia ma luna o ka poʻe kōkua iā Rusia e pale aku iā lākou.
