Jirgin na Yukren da alama sun yi rauni sosai fiye da sojojin ruwan Rasha
A kallo na farko, ƙananan jiragen ruwa na Ukraine - ma'aikatan jirgin ruwa 5,000 ne kawai da ɗimbin ƙananan kwale-kwale na bakin teku - suna da rauni sosai fiye da na Rasha.
Rundunar Kremlin ta Black Sea ta ƙunshi jiragen ruwa sama da 40 na gaba-gaba. Da alama Rashawa a shirye suke su katse hanyar shiga tekun Ukraine - da gaske suna sake fasalin dabarun Anaconda da shugaban Amurka na ƙarni na 19 Abraham Lincoln ya yi amfani da shi don murkushe ƙungiyar Confederacy.
Sai dai da kyar za a iya tabbatar da nasarar da Rasha ta samu, domin kuwa 'yan kasar ta Ukraine suna da matukar mamaki a cikin teku kamar yadda suke a cikin kasa, inda tuni suka kai hare-hare da dama a kan sojojin ruwan Rasha, kamar yadda James Stavridis, tsohon babban kwamandan kasar ya shaida wa Bloomberg. kungiyar NATO a Turai.
Menene bangaren sojan ruwa na yakin Ukraine yayi kama da watanni masu zuwa?
Sama da shekaru goma da suka wuce, na ziyarci tashar jiragen ruwa na Crimean Sevastopol kuma na ci abincin rana tare da shugaban rundunar sojojin ruwa na Ukraine, Viktor Maximov. Mun sami damar lura da jiragen ruwa na Rasha, wanda ke ɗan gaba kaɗan.
Wannan ya kasance kafin mamayewar Rasha na Crimea a cikin 2014, amma har ma a lokacin da Ukrainian Admiral ya ce daidai: “Ba da jimawa ba za su zo wannan tashar jiragen ruwa. Kuma rundunarsu ta fi tamu ƙarfi. "
A lokacin, na yi watsi da ra'ayin cikakken mamayewa, amma shugaban Rasha Vladimir Putin sau biyu ya tabbatar da ni ba daidai ba. Sevastopol yana hannun Rasha kuma yana ba su fa'ida sosai a yuwuwar yaƙe-yaƙe a teku.
Rashawa suna da jiragen yaƙi sama da dozin uku waɗanda suka shirya yaƙi kai tsaye tare da samun damar shiga manyan hanyoyin ruwa a arewacin tekun Black Sea kuma aƙalla suna kula da kashi 60 cikin 2014 na gabar tekun Ukraine daga Crimea ta cikin Tekun Azov zuwa ƙasar Rasha. Ukraine ta yi hasarar manyan jiragen ruwan yakinta, wadanda aka kama ko kuma aka lalata su a shekarar XNUMX, kuma dole ne ta dauki matakin tayar da kayar baya. Ya zuwa yanzu, tana buga katunanta marasa ƙarfi sosai.
Nutsewar da jirgin ruwan Rasha ya nutse a watan da ya gabata a tekun Black Sea, jirgin ruwa mai suna Moscow, ya kasance misali mai kyau na yadda 'yan Ukraine za su tunkari yakin da ke gabarsu. Sun yi amfani da makami mai linzami mai cin gajeren zango, Neptune, kuma sun kama Rashawa ba tare da shiri ba. Rashin aiki na tsarin tsaron iska na Rasha, haɗe da rashin kulawar lalacewa, ya haifar da asarar jirgin, batirin makami mai linzami mai nauyi da kuma (a cewar 'yan Ukrain) daruruwan ma'aikatan jirgin kimanin 500.
A makon da ya gabata, 'yan kasar Ukraine sun sanar da cewa, sun yi amfani da jiragen Turkiyya marasa matuka (wanda ke kara fitowa fili a fagen fama a duniya) wajen nutse da wasu jiragen ruwa biyu na kasar Rasha.
Sakamakon yajin aikin da aka yi a birnin Moscow da kuma nutsewar jiragen ruwan biyu shi ne cewa 'yan Ukraine sun yi niyyar yin yaki don neman iko a kusa da gabar tekun. Tabbas, kayan aikin Yammacin Turai zasu kasance masu mahimmanci - Burtaniya ta yi alkawarin samar da daruruwan makamai masu linzami na Brimstone a wannan watan - amma bincike na gaske da niyya shima zai zama mahimmanci. A cikin yaki a teku, inda jiragen ruwa ba za su iya ɓoyewa a bayan halaye na ƙasa ba, wannan yana da mahimmanci. Yaƙin Midway a lokacin Yaƙin Duniya na Biyu, alal misali, ya koma Amurka kusan gaba ɗaya saboda iyawar leƙen asirin Amurka na jagorantar manyan sojojin ruwan Amurka na Japan.
Rashawa za su fito da sabbin dabaru. Wannan na iya haɗawa da yin amfani da teku a matsayin "yankin gefen gefe" don ketare layin masu tsaron Ukraine a kan ƙasa, kamar yadda Janar Douglas MacArthur ya yi ƙarfin hali zuwa ƙasa a Incheon a tsibirin Koriya a 1950.
Wani zabin kuma shine toshe tashar jirgin ruwa mafi mahimmanci ta Ukraine, Odessa, a wani yunƙuri na kawar da tattalin arzikin Yukren daga kasuwannin duniya. Na uku, da alama 'yan Rasha za su yi ƙoƙari su ba da wutar lantarki mai tsanani daga teku a kan maƙasudin Yukren a bakin teku - kwanan nan sun nuna ikon harba makamai masu linzami na jiragen ruwa don harin ƙasa daga wani jirgin ruwa, alal misali.
Don magancewa, 'yan Ukraine za su iya amfani da kwarewar sojojinsu na kasa, wadanda ke lalata daruruwan tankunan Rasha da motoci masu sulke, ta hanyar amfani da makamai masu arha da kawayen Yamma suka samar. Raka'a na musamman na Sojojin ruwa na Amurka suna da kyawawan zaɓi na zaɓi don kashe jigilar kaya, kuma dole ne a samar da wasu daga cikin waɗannan tsarin ga 'yan Ukrain.
Shirin bayar da tallafin dala biliyan 33 na Shugaba Joe Biden ga Ukraine ya hada da kayan aikin tsaron bakin teku. Sauran membobin NATO, irin su Norway, suna da kyakkyawan tsarin bakin teku da za su iya samarwa.
Yana da daraja la'akari da tsarin raka na Ukrainian (da sauran kasa) 'yan kasuwa jiragen ruwa da suke so su shiga da kuma barin Odessa. Wannan zai yi kama da rakiyar Ernest Will da aka ba wa jiragen ruwa a Tekun Fasha a lokacin Yaƙin Iran da Iraki a cikin 1980s.
Kasashen Yamma na iya gudanar da horo kan yaki da jiragen ruwa ga sojojin ruwa na Ukraine a wajen kasar, watakila a kusa da Constanta, Romania. ('Yan Romawa kwanan nan sun fara ba da damar yin amfani da kayan Yukren daga wannan tashar jiragen ruwa.)
A mafi girman ƙarshen arangama / haɗari, Ƙungiyoyin Ƙungiyoyin na iya yin la'akari da aikin sojan ruwa na agaji don kwashe fararen hula (ko ma sojojin Ukraine) daga birnin Mariupol da aka hallaka. Ƙayyade wannan a matsayin wani aikin jin kai zai sa Moscow ta yi wuyar kai farmaki ga jiragen ruwa, amma dole ne su kasance da makamai masu kyau da kuma shirya don kare aikin.
Fadin Tekun Bahar Maliya galibi na duniya ne. Jiragen yakin NATO na da 'yancin yin tafiya kusan duk inda suke so, ciki har da yankin ruwan Ukraine da yankin tattalin arzikinta na musamman na mil 200. Bayar da waɗannan ruwan ga Rasha ba shi da ma'ana. Maimakon haka, mai yiwuwa su zama babban gaba a yakin Ukraine.
Hoto: Rubutun rubutu a Sevastopol bayan mamaye Crimea, wanda ke nuna shugaban Rasha Vladimir Putin / Bloomberg
Source: Bloomberg TV Bulgaria
Lura: James Stavridis marubuci ne don Ra'ayin Bloomberg. Shi babban hafsan sojan ruwan Amurka ne mai ritaya kuma tsohon kwamandan Allied Kwamanda kuma shugaban Daraja na Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy a Jami'ar Tufts. Shi ne kuma Shugaban Gidauniyar Rockefeller kuma Mataimakin Shugaban Harkokin Duniya a Ƙungiyar Carlyle.
