Nharo inowanzoitwa pamusoro pezvokudya, pamwe chete nezvimwe zvakawanda zve "strategic goods", kuti isu tinofanira kuzviriritira takatarisana nekutyisidzira rugare pasi rose.
Iyo nharo pachayo ndeyekare, yakura zvakakwana kune yekuzvikwanisa gakava, pamwe nekugoneka kwechokwadi kuva kuzviriritira, kuti apedzisire apedza kudzidza kune chinzvimbo chengano dzezvematongerwo enyika. Asi izvi, zvinosuruvarisa, ingano inoramba kufa. Imwe inoramba ichiisa nyika dzeEurope munzira inoenda kune isina kusimba cheni dzekugovera.
Kupokana muUkraine kwakanganisa kutengesa kunze kwenyika zvekurima muGungwa Dzvuku, kukwidza mitengo, uye kuwedzera simba rakawanda nefetereza. Sevatengesi vakuru vezviyo nemafuta emiriwo, kukakavara kwakatenderedza Gungwa Dzvuku kuri kukanganisa zvakanyanya kutakura.
MuSudan, mhedzisiro yekunetsana, dambudziko rehupfumi, uye kushomeka kwegoho zviri kukanganisa zvakanyanya kuwana kwevanhu chikafu uye zvakapetwa kaviri huwandu hwevanhu vakatarisana nenzara muSudan kusvika pamamiriyoni gumi nemasere. Mitengo yakakwira yezviyo kubva kuhondo muUkraine yaive mbambo yekupedzisira.
Kana kurwa muGaza kukawedzera kuMiddle East, (iyo, nerombo rakanaka, iri kutaridzika zvishoma) inogona kumutsa dambudziko rechipiri remagetsi iro rinogona kutumira mitengo yechikafu nemafuta. Bhanga repasi rose rakayambira kuti kana kukakavara kukawedzera, zvinogona kukonzera kukwira kwemitengo kwemafuta uye kuwedzera kusachengeteka kwechikafu, mukati meMiddle East nepasi rose.
Zvinofanirwa kuve pachena kuti chikafu chakachengeteka zvakanyanya, simbi inopihwa kana mafuta ekufambisa ndeiyo inotora kubva kune akawanda masosi sezvinobvira, zvekuti kana munhu akaoma, kana akabatwa munjodzi yehondo kana yezvematongerwo enyika, ipapo kuwanikwa kunokwanisa. kuti idzorerwe nekuwedzera kutengeserana kuburikidza nedzimwe nzira dzakawanda. Ndiyo nzira iyo Qatar, yakagurwa panguva yekuvharirwa muna 2017, yakakwanisa kuenderera mberi isina kubatwa kunyangwe yakavharwa kubva kune vese vavakidzani vayo uye ichizvigadzira isina chikafu zvachose.
Kufarirwa kwengano kunogara kuripo kunoenderana nemabatiro azvinoita nesaroji yedu yevanhu. Mazhinji epfungwa dzedu heuristics anodzidza kune mamwe matambudziko akareruka. Nzira yatakadzidza kurarama nayo ndeyokuchengeta uye kugara pamusoro pemurwi mukuru wezvokudya sezvinobvira. Hatidiwo kuvimba nevavakidzani vedu, tisingarevi kuvimba navo.
Kutyora kunyangwe masikirwo edu ekare uye kumbundira izvo zviri izvo zvinopokana-intuitive dzidziso dzekutengeserana kwemahara saka hurongwa hwakareba. Zvichida inotsanangura kuti sei kutengeserana kwemahara kunoramba kusingafarirwe kana zvichienzaniswa nekudzivirirwa kunyangwe rekodhi yakanaka yekuti kutengeserana kwemahara kunogona kuzviti, kusimudza mabhiriyoni kubva muhurombo.
Kunyengetedza chizvarwa chiripo chevezvematongerwo enyika vekuEurope kuti vasiyanise chikafu chavo chinogara chakaoma - asi zvakawanikwa zvakakura kana vachiona mwenje.
Matunhu akaita seLatin America neSoutheast Asia anomira pachena sematunhu ayo EU inoita kushoma kwazvo kutengeserana. Kuve munzvimbo dzakasiyana-siyana zvinoreva kuti mwaka wakatarisana (kana kuve nemamiriro ekunze akasiyana zvakanyanya kana iri nyika dzeSoutheast Asia seMalaysia), saka mabhenefiti ekugovera cheni anowirirana. Nyika dzakadai dzakagadzirirwa kutengeserana kunobatsira kusimudzira kuchengetedzwa.
Nyika dzakaita seArgentina dzinogadzira nyama yakakura, chimwe chinhu cheEU sanitary and phytosanitary rules (SPS) chinoita kuti zviome kuunza kunze kupfuura zvazvinofanira kuva. Malaysia ndiyo inonyanya kutengesa pasi rose yemafuta emichindwe, inogadzira oiri nemafuta anodiwa mumapoka akawanda echikafu. Zvichienzaniswa nedzimwe mhodzi huru dzemafuta, dzakaita sesoya bhinzi, rapeseed, nesunflower, dzinogona kurimwa mudzimba, mafuta emichindwe ndicho chirimwa chemafuta chepamusoro. Kuita kuti zvidhure uye zvive nyore kupinza kunze kungareva kuchengetedzwa kwechikafu munguva yekusagadzikana, uye zvinodhura zvakachipa munguva dzerunyararo nekudzikisira mitengo.
Kutengeserana kwakawanda kunorevawo kufurira kwakawanda uye kujeka kwakawanda mumaketani ekugovera. Tichitora maMalay semuenzaniso zvakare, indasitiri yavo yeagrifood iri kumbundira kushandiswa kwe blockchain tekinoroji uye traceability kuratidza kuti zvigadzirwa zvavo zvine hushamwari kwezvakatipoteredza uye kusatemwa kwemasango. Kutengeserana kunoita kuti zvibudirire mune zveupfumi kuedza kukuru kwezvakatipoteredza kuchengetedza zvakatipoteredza. Sezvineiwo, zvinogadzira kudyidzana nematunhu akatenderedza pasirese izvo zvinoderedza mukana wekukonana kana kutyorwa kwemitemo yenyika kazhinji.
Muzvinafundo mukuru wezveupfumi wekuFrance Frédéric Bastiat akanyora kuti ““Kana zvinhu zvikasayambuka miganhu, Masoja achadaro”. Akacherechedza simba rokuvimbana somuchengeti worugare. Diversifying trade saka zvose zviri zviviri kugadzirira nekudzivirira. Vezvematongerwo enyika vanofanirwa kukurira masikirwo avo echinyakare vorega zvinhu zvichiyerera.
