Uhlaselo lwase-Ukraine lubonisa isiphithiphithi esikhulu: kukho umthetho wamazwe ngamazwe kawonke-wonke ocinga ngokucacileyo ukuba kunokwenzeka ungenelelo lwamazwe ngamazwe ukukhusela abemi okanye ngokudibeneyo ukunciphisa amazwe asebenzisa imfazwe ngeenjongo zokungakhuseli (ezifana neRashiya); kodwa asinawo amalungiselelo ezopolitiko ehlabathi asebenzayo okwenza oko.
IBhunga lezoKhuseleko le-UN, elijongene nokuqinisekisa uxolo nokhuseleko lwehlabathi, liqulethe iRashiya ne-China njengamalungu asisigxina anamandla e-veto. Ngelixa isenzo saseRussia singenakuthetheleleka, ingqikelelo yam yeyokuba iinkqubo ezithile zentlalo enkulu bezisebenza ezithi ngokungangqalanga zithande ubundlongondlongo. Koku kulandelayo, ndiza kuzama ukukhomba kokubini kolu phuhliso nakwiindlela ezizezinye ezinokuthathwa yi-EU.
Amazwe e-EU abeke uxanduva olukhulu lokhuseleko lwawo kuMbutho weSivumelwano seNorth Atlantic (NATO), umbutho wokhuselo okhokelwa yi-US owadalwa ngaxeshanye ne-UN ukukhusela umdla waseNtshona ngokuchasene nobukomanisi beSoviet. I-UN (eyayiquka i-USSR) yenzelwe ukugcina uxolo lwehlabathi, kodwa iWest nayo yakha umbutho wayo kuba yabona i-USSR njengesongelo. I-NATO ifuzisela le Mfazwe yoMlomo, ke ngoko ukwandiswa kwayo ngasempuma kwiriphabliki zangaphambili zeSoviet kutolikwa eRussia njengendawo esongelayo. Iinzame zase-Ukraine zokujoyina i-NATO ibe ngunobangela. IManyano yaseYurophu mhlawumbi ibe ngowona mmandla uphumeleleyo ehlabathini malunga nokwenza uxolo ngokudityaniswa kwezopolitiko kunye nokusebenzelana nzulu kunye norhwebo. EUnited States of iYurophu, nangona kunjalo, ayizange ibe khona, ngokuyinxenye, ngenxa yokuba ukhuselo lwaseYurophu lwathunyelwa kwi-NATO. Xa uTrump ebhengeza ukuyeka kwakhe ukuxhasa i-NATO, i-European Union yaqaphela ingxaki yokuxhomekeka kwezokhuselo. Ngoku, Ngaba akunakwenzeka ukuba i-European Union iqhubeke nokudibanisa kwaye, ngaphezu koko, yandise empuma, ngelixa ingabandakanyi iRashiya? Ukwandiswa kwempuma kwe-NATO kudlulisela ingcamango yosongo, ngelixa ukwanda kwe-EU kuphakamisa ukulindela kweenzuzo ekwabelwana ngazo kunye nesazisi, sokuxhomekeka kwamanye. Oku kunokuvakala kuyinto enqwenelekayo, ngoko ke ithemba elingenabhongo kangako liya kuba lelokuba iManyano yaseYurophu ithabathe ukhuselo lwayo kwaye igqibezele ukudityaniswa kwayo kwezopolitiko.
Imeko yobuntu kumaphondo ase-Ukraine azimeleyo afuna ingqalelo ekhethekileyo: yenye yeengxoxo zaseRashiya zokuqinisekisa uhlaselo. I-UN kufuneka ithumele ababukeli bamazwe ngamazwe eDonetsk naseLuhansk, ukugxotha nasiphi na isithunzi sokungabaza malunga nokuziphatha kwe-Ukraine ukususela ekusayinwe kwezivumelwano zoxolo zaseMinsk kwi-2014. U-Putin ubajonga ngokungafaniyo ne-Ukraine. NgoFebruwari, i-UN yapapasha isaziso esazisa ukuba umtshutshisi weNkundla yoLwaphulo-mthetho yamazwe ngamazwe wavula uphando malunga nolwaphulo-mthetho olunokwenzeka lwemfazwe kunye nolwaphulo-mthetho oluchasene noluntu e-Ukraine. Eli linyathelo eliya kwicala elichanekileyo elinokuthi lincediswe ngumlinganiselo ocetywayo apha.
Oku akuluvumeli uhlaselo lwaseRashiya lube semthethweni, okanye umnqweno wayo wokuphelisa umkhosi waseUkraine, okanye ikhwelo layo lokubhukuqa umbuso ngumkhosi waseUkraine ukwenza lula uthethathethwano neMoscow. Ukuwela umgca obomvu onjalo oyingozi woxolo lwehlabathi akunakungahoywa: kuya kuvula indlela yezenzo ezifanayo zeRashiya okanye amanye amazwe.
Nangona kunjalo, nasiphi na isenzo somkhosi esichasene neRussia, ngaphakathi okanye ngaphandle kweUkraine, siya kuba neziphumo ezibi kwihlabathi liphela, e-Ukraine, eRussia naseYurophu. Ngokunjalo, ukuxhobisa iUkraine sisicwangciso esiyingozi. Amanye amava embali, anje ngeAfghanistan (1978-1992) kunye neSyria, abonisa ukuba ukuxhobisa abemi yibhombu yexesha elibalaselisa indawo yayo noluhlu logqabhuko-dubulo olungalindelekanga.
Izigxeko ezingathandabuzekiyo zamazwe amaninzi kangangoko kunokwenzeka, idiplomacy kunye nezohlwayo zoqoqosho zibonakala kuphela kwendlela eya phambili. IRashiya iyayikhathalela isohlwayo: ukunyuka kwamaxabiso, ukukhenkceza kweemali kunye nokuvalwa kweemarike ezinokubakho zokuthengiswa kwegesi kuyalimaza. Nangona ikhangeleka ngathi ingamandla amakhulu, yona umnotho ayinamandla, ukungalingani kwangaphakathi kuxhaphakile, kusoyikiswa ngamaqela abagrogrisi kwaye kukho ukungavisisani. Ngexesha eliphakathi, ukunciphisa impembelelo ye-NATO (de kube ukuchithwa kwayo ekugqibeleni), ukuqinisa umgaqo-nkqubo wamazwe angaphandle kunye nokukhusela kunye nokwandisa iManyano ngasempuma kufuneka kube yindlela eya phambili.
Okokugqibela, inguqu kunye nokudityaniswa kwenkqubo yokhuseleko ehlangeneyo ye-UN, njengesona sikhokelo sokusombulula iingxabano zamazwe ngamazwe, kodwa idemokhrasi kwaye inikwe amandla okunyanzeliswa angenakuphikiswa, ibonakala iyiprojekthi edityanisiweyo eyimfuneko ukuba ubuntu abuyi kucinywa ekugqibeleni zizisongelo. ngokwayo ivelisa.
Ukuba umanyano lweUnited States lwehlabathi luthatha ixesha elide kakhulu, oko maxa wambi kujongwa njenge-utopian kunokukhunjulwa njengesicombululo esisebenzisekayo ebesingenakuzanywa ngenxa yokungabi nangqiqo kodwa ebesiya kuyithintela impucuko ekunikezeleni kubukrwada.
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