Zvikepe zveUkraine zvinoita sezvisina kusimba zvakanyanya kupfuura mauto eRussia
Pakutanga kuona, zvikepe zvidiki zveUkraine - zviuru zvishanu chete zvevafambisi vezvikepe uye zvikepe zvidiki zvemahombekombe - zvinotaridzika zvisina kusimba kupfuura mauto emugungwa eRussia.
Kremlin's Black Sea Fleet ine zvinopfuura makumi mana emberi-mutsetse wezvikepe zvehondo. MaRussia anoratidzika kunge akagadzirira kugura mukana weUkraine mugungwa - kunyanya kudzoreredza zano reAnaconda rakashandiswa neMutungamiriri weUS wezana ramakore rechi40 Abraham Lincoln kumisa Confederacy.
Asi kubudirira kweRussia hakugone kuvimbiswa, sezvo vanhu vekuUkraine vari kusimba zvinoshamisa mugungwa sezvavari panyika, vatoita kurwisa kwakabudirira kumauto eRussia, James Stavridis, aimbova mukuru-mukuru, akaudza Bloomberg. NATO muEurope.
Ko chikamu chengarava chehondo yeUkraine chinotaridzika sei mumwedzi iri kuuya?
Makore anopfuura gumi apfuura, ndakashanyira chiteshi chezvikepe cheCrimea cheSevastopol uye ndakadya masikati nemukuru weUkraine wemauto ehondo, Viktor Maximov. Takakwanisa kuona zvikepe zveRussia, izvo zvaiva nechepakati penyika.
Izvi zvaive zvisati zvaitika kuCrimea kweRussia muna 2014, asi kunyangwe ipapo mumiriri weUkraine akati nenzira kwayo: "Nenguva isipi vachauya kuchiteshi ichi. Zvikepe zvavo zvine simba kupfuura zvedu. “
Panguva iyoyo, ndakaramba pfungwa yekurwisa kwakazara, asi Mutungamiriri weRussia Vladimir Putin akandiratidza kaviri kuti handina kururama. Sevastopol iri mumaoko eRussia uye inovapa mukana wakajeka muhondo dzinogona kuitika mugungwa.
MaRussia ane anopfuura makumi matatu ezvikepe zvehondo zvakagadzirira kurwa zvine mukana wakananga kunzira dzemvura kuchamhembe kweBlack Sea uye zvishoma zvishoma kutonga kwe60 muzana yemahombekombe eUkraine kubva kuCrimea kuburikidza neGungwa reAzov kuenda kunyika yeRussia. Ukraine yakarasikirwa nezvikepe zvayo zvehondo, izvo zvakatorwa kana kuparadzwa muna 2014, uye inofanira kutora nzira yehugandanga. Kusvika parizvino, ari kutamba makadhi ake asina simba zvakanyanya.
Mwedzi wapera kunyura kunokatyamadza kwemureza weRussia muBlack Sea, iyo cruiser Moscow, yaive muenzaniso wakanaka wekuti maUkraine achasvika sei kuhondo kubva kumahombekombe avo. Vakashandisa chombo chakagadzirwa munharaunda chipfupi-renge cruise missile, Neptune, uye vakabata maRussia vasina kugadzirira. Kusashanda zvakanaka kweRussia air defense system, yakasanganiswa nekutadza kukuvara kwekudzora, kwakatungamira mukurasikirwa kwechikepe, inorema cruise missile bhatiri uye (maererano neUkraine) mazana evanosvika mazana mashanu evashandi.
Svondo rapfuura, vekuUkraine vakazivisa kuti vaive vashandisa drones yeTurkey (iyo iri kuramba ichionekwa munhandare dzehondo pasirese) kunyudza zvikepe zviviri zvekuRussia.
Mhedzisiro yekurova kweMoscow uye kunyura kwezvikepe zviviri ndezvekuti maUkraine anoda kurwira kutonga pedyo nemahombekombe. Ehe, Hardware yekuMadokero ichave yakakosha - iyo UK yakavimbisa kupa mazana eBrimstone anti-ship missile mwedzi uno - asi chaiyo-nguva yekuongorora uye kunanga kuchave kwakakosha. Muhondo mugungwa, uko zvikepe hazvigone kuvanda kuseri kwemaitiro enzvimbo, izvi zvakakosha. Hondo yeMidway mukati meHondo Yenyika II, semuenzaniso, yakatendeukira kuUnited States zvachose nekuda kwekugona kwenjere dzeAmerica kutungamira mauto emugungwa eJapan epamusoro eUS.
MaRussia achafanirwa kuuya nemaitiro matsva. Izvi zvinogona kusanganisira kushandisa gungwa se "flank zone" kunzvenga mitsetse yevadziviriri veUkraine pasi, zvakafanana nekufamba kwaGeneral Douglas MacArthur kuenda kumhara muIncheon paKorea Peninsula muna 1950.
Imwe sarudzo ingave yekuvharisa chiteshi chakakosha cheUkraine, Odessa, mukuyedza kubvisa hupfumi hweUkraine kubva kumisika yepasirese. Chechitatu, maRussia angangoyedza kupa tsigiro yakasimba yemoto kubva kugungwa vachipokana nezvinangwa zveUkraine pamahombekombe - ivo vachangobva kuratidza kugona kuvhura mabhomba echikepe kuitira kurwiswa kwepasi kubva pasi pegungwa, semuenzaniso.
Kupikisa, maUkraine anogona kushandisa ruzivo rwemauto avo epasi, ayo anoparadza mazana ematangi eRussia nemotokari dzehondo, vachishandisa zvombo zvakachipa zvinopihwa neveWestern allies. Akakosha mayuniti eUS Navy ane yakanaka seti yesarudzo yekumisa kutumira, uye mamwe eaya masisitimu anofanirwa kupihwa kune vekuUkraine.
Mutungamiri Joe Biden's akakurudzira $ 33 bhiriyoni yekubatsira pasuru yeUkraine inosanganisira yemahombekombe ekudzivirira hardware. Dzimwe nhengo dzeNATO, dzakadai seNorway, dzine maitiro akanaka kwazvo emahombekombe avaigona kupa.
Zvakakodzera kufunga kuperekedzwa hurongwa nokuda Ukrainian (uye dzimwe nyika) vatengesi zvikepe vanoda kupinda uye kusiya Odessa. Izvi zvingave zvakafanana nekuperekedza kwaErnest Will kwakapihwa ngarava muPersian Gulf munguva yeHondo Iran neIraq muma1980s.
Nyika dzekuMadokero dzinogona zvakare kuitisa dzidziso yekurwisa ngarava yemauto eUkraine kunze kwenyika, pamwe muConstanta, Romania. (Vanhu vekuRomania vachangobva kutanga kupa mukana kune zvinhu zveUkraine kubva pachiteshi ichi.)
Pakupera kwepamusoro-soro kwekutarisana / njodzi, maAllies anogona kufunga nezvebasa remauto revanhu rekubvisa vanhu (kana kunyange mauto eUkraine) kubva kuguta rakaparadzwa reMariupol. Kutsanangura izvi sekuedza kwekubatsira vanhu kuchaita kuti zviome kuMoscow kurwisa zvikepe zviri kutora chikamu, asi ivo vanofanirwa kunge vakashonga uye vakagadzirira kudzivirira basa.
Gungwa Dzvuku rakakura rine nyika zhinji. NATO zvikepe zvehondo zvakasununguka kufamba chero kwavanoda, kusanganisira mumvura yeUkraine yenharaunda uye yayo 200-mamaira yakasarudzika yehupfumi zone. Kupa mvura idzi kuRussia hazvina musoro. Pane kudaro, ivo vangangove vanotevera kumberi kwehondo muUkraine.
Mufananidzo: Graffiti muSevastopol mushure mekutorwa kweCrimea, inoratidzira Mutungamiriri weRussia Vladimir Putin / Bloomberg
Kunobva: Bloomberg TV Bulgaria
Cherechedza: James Stavridis mutori wenhau weBloomberg Opinion. Ndiye admiral akarega basa weUS Navy uye aimbove Supreme Allied Commander uye Honorary Dean weFletcher Chikoro cheMutemo uye Diplomacy paTufts University. Ndiye zvakare Sachigaro weRockefeller Foundation uye Mutevedzeri weMutungamiriri weGlobal Affairs kuCarlyle Group.
