Ihlabathi laseNtshona liye lalawula ubudlelwane bamazwe ngamazwe. Ukususela ekuveleni kobukapitali, “iNtshona” iye yamisela iindlela eziphambili nemithetho elawula ukuziphatha kwezizwe ngezizwe. Ubukoloniyali batywina ikamva labantu abaninzi ngelixa uWoodrow Wilson wayeyila kwakhona imbono yesizwe esikhululekileyo. I-Marshal Plan yakha umbono wethu wehlabathi emva kwemfazwe yehlabathi ngendlela esabonakala namhlanje kwi-EU. Ihlabathi laseNtshona, ngokubonakala kwalo kubudlelwane bomkhosi we-USA-EU, likhuthaze olona manyano lomkhosi lunamandla, i-NATO, awona mandla anamandla ezoqoqosho kwaye imisele ithoni, imigaqo, imithetho kunye neenqobo ezisemgangathweni kwihlabathi liphela.
Nangona kunjalo iminyaka engama-30 ukusuka kolona loyiso luzukileyo, ukuwa kobukomanisi, olu lungelelwaniso lwehlabathi luzifumene lukhuphisana ne-China kwaye, ngamaxesha athile, yiRashiya. Olu khuphiswano lubone ukuthotywa okuninzi ngendlela yezomkhosi, ezoqoqosho, kunye nemicimbi yeengcamango (kuthiwe oorhulumente abanegunya banempendulo “eqina” ebusweni bobhubhane). Okokuqala emva kwexesha elide, iindlela ezilawula "ibhalansi yamandla" ngokucacileyo ziye zaqalisa ukuvelisa iziphumo zesiphumo sokusekwa ngokubanzi okubizwa ngokuba yiWest.
Ngokwendalo, ukunyuka kweTshayina neRussia kuye kwakhawuleziswa kukungavisisani okukhulayo phakathi kwe-USA kunye ne-EU. Ezi ziye zandiswa kakuhle yi Angela Merkel ifowuni scandal kwaye baqhubekile noxinzelelo oluveliswe yi Iprojekthi ye-North Stream 2 kwaye, kuyabonakala ukuba wabetha emazantsi elitye nge URhwebo lweTransatlantic kunye noTyalo-mali lweNtsebenziswano (TTIP).
Ngokwendalo, imodeli yokuQala yaseMelika yokuqhuba ezoPolitiko zikaTrump icinezele ubudlelwane namazwe amaninzi angamalungu e-European Union. I-Brexit yayiyenye into ebonisa ukuba iindawo ze-EU-USA ziza kuhamba ngeendlela ezahlukeneyo.
Ngaphakathi kobu "Ice Age" yobudlelwane be-EU-USA, iRashiya iye yaqhubela phambili ekuqiniseni ubudlelwane bayo neJamani, ngelixa iChina ihambe yonke imizamo yokuhenda, Hangari, ElamaTaliyane, yaye Grisi.
I-Russia kunye ne-China yafumanisa ukuba ukuhlasela ubudlelwane be-EU-USA yeyona nto iphambili ngokuchasene nokusekwa kwamazwe ngamazwe kwangoku. Ke ngoko, omabini la mazwe asebenze amashumi eminyaka ukuze ajongele phantsi ubudlelwane be-transatlantic, ngokuvuselela ubudlelwane bezoqoqosho eBerlin-Moscow okanye ngokuphembelela i-ego yasemkhosini yaseFransi (kunye neemvakalelo ezichasene ne-Amerika kunye ne-anti-NATO) zibaleka ezipasejini ze-Elysee.
Izenzo ezivela eTshayina okanye eRashiya zibonakala zinomthombo ofanayo. Nangona kunjalo, eneneni, banikezela iinjongo ezahlukeneyo kakhulu, ngokusebenza kumajelo ahlukeneyo. I-Balance esebenza ngokwenene yomanyano lwaMandla phakathi kweRashiya neChina ayikho. Izenzo zabo zithungelana, ngendlela efika ngexesha, kwimixholo ethile. Uninzi lwexesha, aba badlali babini bekhawuntara banomdla wabo wokubajonga iYurophu.
Ikhethini elitsha
I-European Union iphantsi kongqingo kwaye, ngokucacileyo, yahlulelene ngakumbi kunangaphambili. Imidlalo yezoqoqosho edlalwa yi-China kunye nokusebenza kweqhinga lezinto zaseRashiya, ezihlala zidlalwa ngummeleli, sele zenze umfanekiso weManyano yaseYurophu ebuthathaka, ehlala ingenambono. Ungquzulwano lwengcamango endala ebeka ubuzwe kunye nehlabathi jikelele kumacala achaseneyo omelelo lokwenyani loqhekeko ngoku ngaphaya kwesikimu esidala se-Iron Curtain. Oku kucacile kwindlela amazwe aseYurophu azibeke ngayo malunga nomthetho we-LGBTQ waseHungary.
Eyona nto inomdla wokwenene malunga nolu hlengahlengiso lweendonga zakudala zethiyori kukuba iYurophu iphantsi kwenkqubo yokuphindaphinda impixano yeengcamango eqhubekayo eUnited States. Njengamaxesha onke, xa ujongana neengxoxo ezibukhali, omabini amaqela achanekile, kwaye omabini achanekile kakhulu.
UViktor Orban kunye neqela leVisegrad lifuna ukukhuthaza umbono weProjekthi yaseYurophu esekwe kumazwe elizwe anolawulo olupheleleyo. Ewe, umba wolu hlobo lweprojekthi kukuba ilingana nokutshatyalaliswa kwe-EU. Ukuguqula i-EU ibe yimbumba nje yamazwe angathandekiyo kwiRashiya neTshayina, kuba oku kuthetha ukuba iprojekthi eqhelekileyo yaseNtshona ye-EU, yokukhuthaza umanyano lwemilinganiselo ekwabelwana ngayo kunye neengcamango, ayiphumelelanga, eshiya indlela yokuzalwa kwakhona kweYurophu yakudala - kulula. ukuyalela, ezele lungquzulwano nemfazwe.
IYurophu kufuneka ijongane nezoyikiso ezibonakalayo ngakumbi kuneengcamango. Ukunqongophala kwamandla afanelekileyo omkhosi phambi kobudlelwane obunciphayo kunye neTurkey kunye ne-United States kubonisa ubuthathaka. IFransi, nazo zonke iinzame zayo zokuzibonakalisa njengomkhuseli weYurophu, ayisiyonto ingakholelekayo kwaphela. Ngenxa yokuba iswele umkhosi omkhulu ngokwaneleyo kodwa nangenxa yokuba iFransi ayinakuqinisekisa uxolo lwengqondo kumazwe angaphandle eMpuma, kwimeko enokwenzeka yongquzulwano oluthe ngqo lomkhosi neRashiya. IYurophu, ixesha elide kakhulu, ixhomekeke kwinkxaso yomkhosi evela eUnited States. Oku kunokwenza abanye bazibuze ukuba iManyano yaseYurophu ingamandla amakhulu okanye ayingowo na, kuba “ilawula” amandla omkhosi womntu wesithathu. IYurophu ngokungathandabuzekiyo ihleli ingoqoqosho kwaye, nangaphezulu, amandla enkcubeko okumisela iinqobo ezisemgangathweni kwihlabathi liphela. Kodwa ngaphandle kwamandla omkhosi ahambelanayo, ihlale isemva kwe-United States, China neRussia.
Ikamva leManyano yaseYurophu lidlalwa eParis naseBerlin
Ulawulo olutsha lweBiden lujongwe yiBrussels njengomoya omtsha. Kwaye nokuba kunjalo, umntu kufuneka athathele ingqalelo ukuba i-Trump phenomenon ayisiyonto intrinsically edityaniswe noDonald Trump. Yindlela ebekwe endaweni kwaye yaqinisekiswa, ngokonyulo, yinxalenye ebalulekileyo yabemi baseMelika. Ke, ngokuqinisekileyo, ukoyiswa okukhulu kukaTrump kunye nokurhoxa okulandelayo akufuneki kubhidaniswe nokunyamalala kwe-ajenda yakhe yaseMelika yokuqala.
Ke nokuba iManyano yaseYurophu ijonge phambili kwincoko ekhululekileyo yezozakuzo kunye neWashington, kuyacaca ukuba ukuqhubeka kuya kubakho. Kukho iimpawu ezicacileyo eziza kubonakala. Ukuma kwe-EU-China kuya kubangela uxinzelelo kwaye i-2% yokukhusela inokuba luloyiso olunokuthi i-US ingafuni ukubuya umva, kuba iinzame zase-USA zicacile ngokungafaniyo ngokuthatha inxaxheba kwe-NATO (ayiyiyo nje imali, kodwa. malunga netekhnoloji, ukufikelela emkhosini, kunye nobukho). UBiden unyanzelekile ukuba aqhubeke ejongana nomba ongonwabanga waseTshayina eAsia, apho iBeijing ikhula ngempembelelo. EYurophu, iWashington iya kuhlala ifumana abahlobo kwiiBaltics, ePoland, naseRomania, amazwe aqinisekileyo ngento yokuba iziqinisekiso zokhuseleko lwaseMelika zizona kuphela izithintelo ezinokubakho ebusweni bokwanda kokuqina kweRussia. Nokuba iJamani neFransi ziya kudlala njani izandla zabo, i-US inenkxaso eqinile phakathi kwamazwe e-EU.
Kufuneka sikhumbule kwakhona ukuba unyulo luya kuqhubeka eJamani naseFransi. Isicwangciso esamkelwe ziinkokeli eParis naseBerlin siya kusibonisa ukuba iManyano yaseYurophu iya kubheja kumdlalo wokuqhutywa kwebhendi okanye siyakubona uyilo olutsha lwempembelelo yase-USA kulo lonke elaseYurophu. Ukuba iManyano yaseYurophu iya kudlala ikhadi laseTshayina okanye laseRashiya, iprojekthi iya kurhaxwa kakhulu. Ngenxa yokuba imidla yabo bobathathu abadlali ababalaseleyo - i-USA, iRussia, kunye neTshayina, iya kutsalela kwicala elingangqinelaniyo, ngaloo ndlela isaphula ilaphu laseYurophu. Igunya ngalinye liya kufuna ukukhusela indawo yalo yempembelelo kwaye i-EU iya kuba yindawo nje yokulwa kumlo wangaphandle wolawulo.
I-EU inesigqibo esinzima ekufuneka yenze. Ukuba ityhala ukuqhubela phambili kwemeko ekhoyo, iyazazi iintambo: iya kukhuseleka, ixhomekeke kukhuseleko lwaseMelika, kodwa kwakhona ikhululekile ukudlala amakhadi ayo ngamaxesha athile xa ifuneka. Ukuba ithatha isigqibo sokudlala ikhadi eliphikisanayo, ngoko kuya kufuneka ajongane nokwanda kobuzwe, ingqiqo enamandla yokwahlukana, kunye nombono onamandla wokungquzulana. Ewe kunjalo, amazwe aseYurophu nawo abenesidima kulo mdlalo. Kodwa nakwiminyaka (yokutsha) yobuzwe, abantu badiniwe kukujongana nemfazwe kunye nongquzulwano.
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