Ukurhoxa kwe-NATO e-Afghanistan kunye nokuhlala ngokukhawuleza kwekomkhulu, iKabul, yiTaliban, elandelwa kukuwa kokurhoxa kwemikhosi yaseNtshona kunye nabasebenzi, lutshintsho lomdlalo kubudlelwane phakathi kweTurkey kunye ne-Alliance.
Emva koqhankqalazo olungaphumelelanga oluchasene no-Erdogan ngo-2016, isikhundla saseTurkey sitshintshile ngokucwangcisiweyo. Umongameli waseTurkey wasondela eRussia ngokufumana izixhobo ezijulwayo ze-S-400, waphinda waphinda ungquzulwano lwaseMeditera kunye neGrisi kunye neFrance, kwaye watyikitya iprotocol yokhuseleko kunye neHamas esonakalisa uSirayeli. Yonke le midlalo ye-geopolitical ibonise ukuba iTurkey ithatha amandla ommandla kwaye iziphatha ngolo hlobo, nokuba ichaphazela umdla wamanye amahlakani e-NATO.
Akunjalo rhoqo, abahlalutyi bezopolitiko, kunye nomkhosi baye bathetha ngokurhoxa kweTurkey kwi-NATO okanye ukufuduswa kwezixhobo zenyukliya zase-US kwisiseko se-Incirlik.
I-Turkey inzuzo kwintlekele yase-Afghan
Ngeli xesha, iUnited States ivakalelwa ukurhoxa ngokupheleleyo e-Afghanistan kwaye umfanekiso wase-US kwibala lamazwe ngamazwe uchaphazeleka ngokubonakalayo. I-Biden ayinakuthatha ingxabano, nokuba yezozakuzo, kunye neTurkey, kuba kufuneka ijongane nemiba yangaphakathi emininzi, kunye nokwanda kweTshayina kunye nemidlalo ye-geopolitical yaseRussia.
I-European Union ilungiselela ukufumana igagasi elikhulu labafuduki kwaye unyulo lusondela eJamani naseFransi, ngoko ke ungquzulwano lwezopolitiko kunye neTurkey alukho umbuzo.
U-Erdogan uvakalelwa kukuba imeko yamazwe ngamazwe inzima kwaye ubona ithuba angenakuliphosa. I-Turkey ithatha indima esebenzayo phambi kwe-NATO e-Afghanistan naphambi kwe-EU ngokuvuma ukuyeka, okanye ubuncinci ibhloko ixesha elithile elingenakuphepheka labafuduki. Ke, inkokeli evela e-Ankara ibeka iTurkey njengomdlali obaluleke kakhulu kuMbindi Mpuma (ixhaswa ngokwezopolitiko kunye nolwazi lwe-NATO) kwaye ixhamla kwimali yaseYurophu yokuyeka ukufuduka. Luhlobo olutsha lokuphumelela, apho ophumeleleyo, kuyo yonke imida, yiTurkey, ngelixa yonke ipakethe ibonakala yonwabile ngokwaneleyo ukuba ibe nohlobo oluthile lokubanjwa kwimeko ngaphandle kwesisombululo.
I-Islamabad-Kabul-Ankara Axis
I-Ankara ibambe isikhundla esikhethekileyo e-Afghanistan, ngokuyintloko ngenxa yenkolo yamaSilamsi, kodwa nangenxa yejografi, la mazwe mabini anomda ofanayo. I-Turkey iye yathatha inxaxheba kwimishini ye-NATO e-Afghanistan kwasekuqaleni, ukususela ngo-2002, kodwa imikhosi yaseTurkey ayizange ithathe inxaxheba kwimisebenzi yokulwa, ixhomekeke ekugadweni nasekuqeqesheni.
Ukuhlalutya imeko yangoku, sinokubona ukuba iTurkey ilungiselele isicwangciso sayo se-Afghanistan kwangaphambili. Kangangeminyaka eli-10, umkhosi waseTurkey uqhube isibhedlele eKabul esasisebenzela abantu base-Afghan kwindawo ehlala abantu basePashtun, indawo efanayo apho uninzi lweTaliban luvela khona.
ITurkey yarhoxa malunga ne-1,000 yabemi baseTurkey e-Afghanistan, kodwa ngaphezulu Ama-4,000 akhetha ukuhlala e-Afghanistan. Ngamanye amazwi, phantsi kobunkokeli beTaliban, amaTurkey aya kuqhubeka nokuvelisa, ukwenza ishishini kunye nokusebenza e-Afghanistan.
Ukongeza kwezi zibonelelo, kufuneka kuqatshelwe ukuba iTurkey inobudlelwane obuhle kakhulu kunye IPakistan, ilizwe elixhase ngamandla intshukumo yeTaliban. I-Turkey yindawo yesibini enkulu yomthengisi wezixhobo ePakistan kwaye ubudlelwane phakathi kwala mazwe mabini budala kwaye bomelele kakhulu. Imithombo yeendaba yamaGrike ithi umkhosi wasePakistan uthathe inxaxheba kuhlaselo lwaseCyprus ngo-1974 kunye nokuba uMkhosi waManzi wasePakistan uthatha inxaxheba ngokusebenzayo kwi "Meditera Shield" eyenziwa yiTurkey kwiMeditera.
Imeko yangoku ichaza ukuba iTurkey kunye nePakistan ngamazwe anezona zixhobo zibalulekileyo ekusekweni okutsha eKabul, kodwa imeko inokutshintsha, ngakumbi emva kokubandakanyeka okusebenzayo kweRashiya, iChina ne-Iran.
Isicwangciso sexesha eliphakathi nelifutshane le-Ankara
I-Turkey ibandakanyeka ngokwezomkhosi kunye nezixhobo kwiindawo ezininzi (umkhosi eSiriya, eLibya nase-Iraq kwaye ngokusemthethweni Yukreyini kunye neCaucasus). Olu hlobo lokubandakanyeka luzisa inzuzo kwixesha eliphakathi kunye nexesha elide, kodwa ixabiso elikhulu kakhulu. I Uqoqosho lwaseTurkey lukwithambeka elisezantsi. Ngaphantsi kwezi meko, iTurkey kulindeleke ukuba iphumeze isicwangciso sezopolitiko kunezomkhosi e-Afghanistan kunye nokucela inkxaso yezemali kwimishini yomhlaba evela kwi-NATO, kwi-EU yomgaqo-nkqubo wokulwa nokufuduka okanye ukusuka eQatar, ilizwe elixhasa iiprojekthi ezahlukeneyo ze-Erdogan.
Akumele silibale ukuba iTurkey ilawulwa ngokusemthethweni nguRecep Tayyip Erdoğan kunye nomgaqo-nkqubo welizwe, nokuba wangaphakathi okanye wangaphandle, uphantsi kweemfuno zawo. Ngaloo ndlela, i-sultan idinga ukucocwa komfanekiso wonyulo lwe-2023 kwaye inokufuna indima yenkokeli yengingqi eye yalawula ngempumelelo imeko e-Afghanistan.
Ingxaki ebangelwe kukurhoxiswa kwamahlakani e-Afghanistan kunye ne-Erdogan's clever moves reposition Turkey ngokunxulumene ne-US kunye ne-EU. I-Ankara okwangoku yeyona ndawo idityanisiweyo ye-NATO kuMbindi Mpuma kwaye oku kunika u-Erdogan iseti yamakhadi anomdla aza kuwadlala ukuze abonise ubunkokeli kunye nokwenza amandla eprojekthi.
Iikhredithi zeefoto: - ahvalnews.com
