Ngokocwaningo oluphumayo, amaqembu aphikisayo avele njengabanqobile okhethweni lwasePoland. Uma isibalo samavoti siqinisekisa lo mphumela, kungasho ushintsho olubalulekile ekuqondeni okulandela umkhankaso wokhetho okuqhutshwe ngawo umcijo.
WARSAW – Ukhetho lukazwelonke lwakamuva ePoland luphakamisa ukuthi amaqembu aphikisayo athole ukunqoba okubalulekile, okungase kulethe uguquko olukhulu kwezombusazwe kuleliya lizwe, kuphinde kube nomthelela ku-European Union. Uhulumeni wamanje, oholwa yiqembu le-Law and Justice (PiS), usenengxabano neBrussels iminyaka eyisishiyagalombili, ebhekene nezinsolo zokubukela phansi izimiso zentando yeningi. Ukuwina kwabaphikisayo kungakhombisa ushintsho ebudlelwaneni bePoland ne-EU futhi kuguqule amandla ezepolitiki ngaphakathi kwe-bloc.
NgoMsombuluko ntambama, kushicilelwe inhlolovo yokugcina yokuphuma ehlanganisa nesibalo samavoti angaphambi kwesikhathi. Inhlolovo iveza ukuthi iPiS ithole ukwesekwa okungamaphesenti angama-36.1, kwalandelwa i-centrist Civic Coalition enamaphesenti angama-31, isikhungo esingakwesokudla ngamaphesenti ayi-14, iNxele ngamaphesenti angama-8.6, kwathi iConfederation ngamaphesenti ayi-6.8. Ngonyaka odlule ka-2019, iPiS yayiwine amavoti angama-43.6%. I-IPSOS yenze inhlolovo, eyabe yabelwa namanethiwekhi omabonakude ayinhloko asePoland.
Ngaphandle kwempumelelo yokuqala yeqembu loMthetho Nobulungiswa ekutholeni ukwesekwa, ukunqoba kwabo kungabonakala njengokuyize njengoba amaqembu amathathu amakhulu aphikisanayo esehlangene ebambe izihlalo eziningi ephalamende elinamalungu angama-460.
Ngokwenhlolovo yokuphuma, izinga lokubamba iqhaza kwabavoti libe ngamaphesenti angama-72.9, nokubeka irekhodi elisha.
Iqembu elibusayo lasebenzisa izinsiza zikahulumeni ukuqinisa amathuba alo okuphumelela, kanti abezindaba bakahulumeni, abahambisana neqembu elibusayo, banikeze ukwesekwa okuqinile. Nokho leli qembu libhekane nenqwaba yamahlazo okubalwa nezinsolo zenkohlakalo nokudayiswa kwama-visa ukuze bathole ukugwazelwa. Ukwengeza, ubuholi baleli qembu buhlaselwe yizinxushunxushu nokungaboni ngasolinye nomphakathi osekuyiminyaka eyisishiyagalombili, okuhlanganisa izingxabano ngokuhushulwa kwezisu, umthetho, ukuthengwa okusanhlamvu okuvela e-Ukraine, nobudlelwano obungebuhle ne-EU, ebambe izigidigidi zamarandi ngenxa yokukhathazeka. phezu komthetho. Lezi zinto zibe nomthelela ekwehleni kokwesekwa kweqembu elibusayo.
Ngaphandle kokwethulwa kwereferendamu enezimpikiswano ngehora leshumi nanye enemibuzo eminingi ehloselwe ukudicilela phansi abaphikisayo, abalandeli beqembu le-PiS bahlala bengenamdlandla, okuholele ekungeneni kwabantu okwanele ukwenza ivoti libe semthethweni.
Kubukeka sengathi i-PiS ingase ingatholi izihlalo ezanele ukuze ibe neningi ephalamende, noma ngabe ihlangana neConfederation, eveze ukuthi ngeke ibumbe umfelandawonye neLaw and Justice. Amaqembu amathathu asele athembise ukusebenzisana ukuze asuse i-PiS emandleni.
Inhlolovo yokugcina yokuphuma ikhomba ukuthi uMthetho Nobulungiswa kulindeleke ukuthi uthole izihlalo eziyi-196, kanti iCivic Coalition kulindeleke ukuthi ithole izihlalo eziyi-158. I-Third Way ilinganiselwa ku-61, ilandelwe kwesokunxele ngezihlalo ezingu-30, iConfederation enezihlalo ezingu-15.
Amaqembu aphikisayo, ahlanganisa amaqembu amathathu aqavile, azoba nezihlalo ezingama-249 esephalamende, kanti iqembu elibusayo iPiS kanye nozakwabo weConfederation bazoba nezihlalo ezingama-211.
Ukubalwa kwamavoti kulindeleke ukuthi kuphothulwe futhi kumenyezelwe ekuseni ngoLwesibili olulandelayo.
Umphumela Omangalisayo
U-Jarosław Kazcyński, umholi we-PiS, ubheke umphumela njengempumelelo yeqembu lakhe, kodwa wavuma ukungaqiniseki ngomthelela wawo ekubambeni kwabo kuhulumeni. Uzwakalise ukuthi unethemba lokuthi le mpumelelo bazokwazi ukuyihumushela kwelinye ihlandla lokuphatha, waphinde wagcizelela ukuzibophezela kwabo ekuqhubekiseleni phambili izinhloso zabo, kungakhathaliseki ukuthi basala bephethe noma bangena ekuphikisweni.
Ugcizelele ukuthi iqembu lakhe lizimisele ngokubona uhlelo lwalo luze luphothulwe.
Umphumela walethe isasasa elikhulu kuDonald Tusk, inhloko yeCivic Coalition.
“Angikaze ngijabule kanjena empilweni yami ngale ndawo obekuthiwa isendaweni yesibili, kwawina iPoland, kwawina intando yeningi. Sibasusile emandleni, ”kusho owayengundunankulu kanye nomongameli woMkhandlu WaseYurophu, wabamba iqhaza elibalulekile ekuqiniseni izifiso zamaqembu aphikisayo ekungeneni kwami kabusha kwezepolitiki yasePoland ngo-2021.
"Sizokwakha uhulumeni omusha omuhle wentando yeningi nabalingani bethu," esho, egxeka "ububi" beminyaka eyisishiyagalombili edlule.
Iqembu eliphikisayo lithembise ukubuyisela nokuqinisa ubudlelwano ne-European Union.
URobert Biedroń, umuntu ovelele wangakwesokunxele, umemezele ukuthi iPoland izophinde ijoyine i-Europe ngo-Okthoba 15.
Ngemuva kokuthi isibalo samavoti sesiqediwe, uMongameli u-Andrzej Duda uzoba nesibopho ngesinyathelo esilandelayo. Uveze ukuthi kuwumkhuba ukuthi omengameli baqoke ilungu eqenjini elikhulu elizoqokwa njengondunankulu, banikwe ithuba lokuqala lokuhlanganisa uhulumeni.
Ngaphandle kokubambisana okungase kube khona neConfederation, Law and Justice (PiS) mancane amathuba okuthi kuvikeleke izihlalo ezanele ephalamende ukuze kutholakale iningi, ngokusho kukaSean Gallup/Getty Images. Esimeni esinjena, lowo ozakhethwa ngumongameli uzakuba leviki ezimbili ukuthi abumbe umbuso njalo afune ivoti lephalamende lokumethemba. Uma lingaphumeleli, iphalamende lizobe selithola ithuba lokuqoka undunankulu.
Ukhetho lwakamuva lwase-Poland luphawulwe ngesizini yomkhankaso enezingxabano nezihlukanisayo, egqama njengenye yezingqinamba kakhulu emlandweni wezwe wepolitiki yentando yeningi.
U-Kaczyński uveze ukuphikisa njengengozi enkulu ebukhoneni bezwe. Uveze ukuthi uTusk ubesebenzisana neBerlin kanye neBrussels ukubukela phansi ukuzimela kwePoland futhi avumele ukuthutheleka kwabafuduki abavela emazweni angamaSulumane.
Ukugxekwa kuphakamisa ukuthi uma i-PiS iphinda iqokelwa ihlandla lesithathu, izoqinisa ukubamba kwayo amandla futhi iqondise iPoland ohlelweni lokugunyazwa, olufana nolwaseHungary, lapho uhulumeni enomthelela omkhulu kwezobulungiswa, abezindaba, kanye nakuhulumeni. amabhizinisi, ngaleyo ndlela ebukela phansi izisekelo zentando yeningi yasePoland.
"Sizobe sibheke lolu khetho ubusuku bonke," kusho uTusk. “Njengoba nazi, amashumi ezinkulungwane zabantu ahleli emagcekeni. Babhekile, akekho osazosintshontshela lolu khetho. Sizogada wonke amavoti.” UTusk ugcizelele ukuthi wonke amavoti azovikelwa, nokuthi inhlangano ngeke ivumele noma yimiphi imizamo yokukhohlisa umphumela.
