Ukuba sijonga uninzi lweemfazwe zeminyaka engama-50 edluleyo, sinokubona ukuba azinciphi. Kwaye nokuba sijonga kwimbali epheleleyo yomkhosi wehlabathi, sinokubona ukuba iimfazwe zobukhulu esibubonayo eUkraine zihlala zinde.
Wonke umntu uthi: "Imfazwe yaseUkraine iya kuhlala iminyaka". Umntu wokugqibela ukwenza oko nguJens Stoltenberg, unobhala-jikelele we-NATO, kudliwano-ndlebe nephephandaba laseJamani. umfanekiso ngeCawa.
Nangona kunjalo, ukuba sicinga ngayo, kucacile ukuba le mfazwe iya kuhlala iminyaka. Kwaye ayisiyiyo “kuba akukho qela libandakanyekayo elifuna ukuba imfazwe ibe mfutshane”, njengoko abanye abantu abasekhohlo sebeqhele ukutsho. Hayi, akungenxa yaloo nto, ubukhulu becala ekubeni loo nto yokuqiqa ingenangqiqo.
Enye into, omabini amaqela abandakanyekayo kwingxabano (i-Ukraine neRashiya) bakhetha ukungqubuzana okufutshane. I-Ukraine ilwela ukunciphisa umonakalo kunye nokubandezeleka okubangelwa yile mfazwe kangangoko kunokwenzeka. Kwanangezinye izizathu ezininzi ezinobuchule ngokuphathelele iinzame zemfazwe. Kwaye iRashiya ngenxa yokuba ifuna ukuphuma kule mfazwe njengoloyiso kangangoko kunokwenzeka, kwaye imfazwe ende ayincedi loo nto, kodwa nangenxa yesizathu sokuba ifuna ukuphuma kule mfazwe kunye nomkhosi kunye noqoqosho oluchaphazelekayo njengoko kunokwenzeka.
Kwaye inxalenye yesibini, akukho mntu ngaphakathi kumfelandawonye we-NATO onomdla wokuwa kwezoqoqosho okubangelwa yile mfazwe. Kanye njengokuba abanye abantu besithi amanye amazwe anokungenelwa kukuphazamiseka kwezorhwebo lwezizwe ngezizwe, oko akuyonyaniso. Iindleko zokuphazamiseka ziya kuhlala zidlula iinzuzo ezinokubakho ilizwe elinye elinokuba nalo ngenxa yale mfazwe. Into yokuba i-USA izakuqala ukuthumela i-oyile kunye negesi eyongezelelweyo eYurophu ayenzi iWall Street ibe nentembelo ngakumbi kwikamva loqoqosho lwaseMelika, umzekelo.
Ke hayi, andithethi malunga neyelenqe le-NATO apha, ukwenza imfazwe ihlale ixesha elide kunokuba kufanelekile. Le mfazwe ndiza kuyithelekisa nezinye iimfazwe ezimbalini. Kwiinzame zokuchaza isizathu, asinasizathu sokucinga ukuba le mfazwe iya kuba mfutshane.
Omnye umzekelo oye waziswa kutshanje ngenxa yezizathu ezicacileyo luhlaselo lwe-USSR e-Afghanistan ngo-1979. Nangona olu thelekiso luyimpazamo, ikakhulu ngenxa yokuba i-Afghan terrain enentaba iphantse ibe yi-antithesis yendawo enkulu ye-Ukraine ethe tyaba, sinokubona ukuba kutheni le mfazwe. inokuba nesiphumo esifanayo neso saqhutywa yi-USSR ngo-1979. Apho kungekho ntaba apho amajoni ase-Ukraine anokuzikhusela kuhlaselo lomoya nasemhlabeni, kukho izixeko. Kakade ke, oku kukhokelela kwixabiso eliphezulu kakhulu lomntu.
Kwaye ukuba ufuna omnye umzekelo omkhulu, sinohlaselo lwase-US e-Iraq. Olu thelekiso lungcono ngakumbi malunga nemiba ethile. Enye, yomibini imikhosi yase-Iraqi kunye ne-Ukraine, kunjalo, imikhosi, hayi nje imikhosi kunye nabahlaseli. Kwaye okwesibini, malunga nomhlaba, i-Iraq ifana kakhulu ne-Ukraine kune-Afghanistan, ekwathe tyaba. Nangona kunjalo, uhlaselo lwase-US lwadlala ngokwahlukileyo kunohlaselo lwaseRussia. Nangona kukho konke ukusilela kunye neempazamo, imikhosi yase-US kunye neBhritane yahlasela ilizwe ngempumelelo malunga nenyanga, izalisekisa zonke iinjongo zabo zomkhosi (ngokumalunga nesigaba sokuhlasela, kunjalo). Imikhosi yaseRashiya sele isilele kwiinjongo zayo ezininzi zomkhosi. Baye bazama ukwenza into ephosakeleyo kwimigca yotshaba malunga neenyanga ze-5 ngoku kwaye abanalo nofifi lokuba le mfazwe iza kuphela njani.
Ewe, uninzi lweemfazwe endizikhankanyileyo (i-Afghanistan kunye ne-Iraq) zazinde ngenxa yesigaba sasemva kohlaselo / sokuhlala, kwaye ngoku iRashiya ayinayo into efunekayo ukuze ihlale eUkraine. Kodwa nangona kunjalo, ukuba iRashiya ilawula ukutyhala kwingingqi yaseDonbas, kuya kufuneka iqhubele phambili ukuya eKiev njalo njalo. Kwaye oko, njengoko sibona, kuya kuthatha ixesha (ukuba kuyenzeka konke).
Kodwa ndicinga ukuba asifuni nyani ukuthelekisa, okanye ubuncinci uthelekiso oluneenkcukacha. Ngenxa yokuba eyona nto iphambili endifuna ukuyichaza-ingxoxo yam ephambili yale thesis-ilula: Akukho mfazwe yobukhulu obufana nale, imfutshane. Ngokwahlukileyo koko, ziya zisiba nde yaye ziba nde.
Kwaye yinkolelo yam ukuba oku kuyinyani, okoko nje singaboni inzuzo ecacileyo kwicala elinye, okanye ukuhlasela okuyimpumelelo, njl.
