Imikhumbi yase-Ukraine ibonakala ibuthakathaka kakhulu kunebutho lasolwandle laseRussia
Uma uthi nhlá, imikhumbi emincane yase-Ukraine - amatilosi ayizi-5,000 kuphela kanye nezikebhe ezincane ezisogwini - zibukeka zibuthakathaka kakhulu kunombutho wasolwandle waseRussia.
I-Kremlin's Black Sea Fleet iqukethe imikhumbi yempi ehamba phambili engaphezu kuka-40. AmaRussia abonakala ekulungele ukunqamula ukungena kwe-Ukraine olwandle - empeleni enza kabusha isu le-Anaconda elasetshenziswa uMongameli wase-US wangekhulu le-19 u-Abraham Lincoln ukuvimbela i-Confederacy.
Kodwa impumelelo yaseRussia mancane amathuba okuthi iqinisekiswe, njengoba abantu base-Ukraine bekwazi ukumelana nezimo ezimangalisayo olwandle njengoba besemhlabeni, sebevele sebehlasele ibutho lasolwandle laseRussia izikhathi eziningana, uJames Stavridis, owayengumkhuzi omkhulu, etshela iBloomberg. ye-NATO eYurophu.
Ingxenye yezempi yezempi yase-Ukraine ibukeka kanjani ezinyangeni ezizayo?
Esikhathini esingaphezudlwana kweshumi leminyaka edlule, ngavakashela itheku laseCrimea laseSevastopol futhi ngadla isidlo sasemini nenduna yezempi yase-Ukraine, uViktor Maximov. Sakwazi ukubuka imikhumbi yaseRussia, eyayiseduze nezwe.
Lokhu kwakungaphambi kokuhlasela kweRussia eCrimea ngo-2014, kodwa noma kunjalo u-admiral wase-Ukraine wathi: "Ngokuhamba kwesikhathi bazofika kuleli chweba. Futhi imikhumbi yabo inamandla kakhulu kuneyethu. “
Ngaleso sikhathi, ngawenqaba umbono wokuhlasela okugcwele, kodwa uMongameli waseRussia uVladimir Putin uye wangifakazela kabili ukuthi angilona iqiniso. I-Sevastopol isezandleni zaseRussia futhi ibanika inzuzo ecacile ezimpini ezingase zibe khona olwandle.
Abantu baseRussia banemikhumbi yempi engaphezu kweshumi nambili elungele ukulwa enokufinyelela okuqondile emigwaqweni emikhulu yamanzi enyakatho yoLwandle Olumnyama kanye nokulawula okungenani ingxenye yamaphesenti angama-60 ogwini lwase-Ukraine ukusuka eCrimea ukunqamula uLwandle lwase-Azov kuya ezweni laseRussia. I-Ukraine ilahlekelwe yimikhumbi yayo yempi eyinhloko, eyabanjwa noma yacekelwa phansi ngo-2014, futhi kufanele ithathe indlela yabashokobezi. Kuze kube manje, udlala amakhadi akhe abuthakathaka kahle kakhulu.
Ukucwila okushaqisayo kwenyanga edlule kwefulegi laseRussia oLwandle Olumnyama, i-cruiser Moscow, kube yisibonelo esihle sokuthi abantu base-Ukrainian bazobhekana kanjani nempi ngasogwini lwabo. Basebenzisa umcibisholo we-cruise cruise okhiqizwa endaweni, i-Neptune, futhi babamba abaseRussia bengakulungele. Ukungasebenzi kahle kohlelo lokuvikela umoya lwaseRussia, kuhlangene nokulawulwa kabi komonakalo, kwaholela ekulahlekelweni komkhumbi, ibhethri lawo elicitshwayo le-cruise elisindayo kanye (ngokusho kwabantu base-Ukraine) amakhulu amalungu angaba ngu-500.
Ngesonto eledlule, abantu base-Ukrainian bamemezele ukuthi basebenzise ama-drones aseTurkey (ayanda ukubonakala ezinkundleni zempi emhlabeni jikelele) ukucwilisa izikebhe ezimbili zaseRussia.
Umphumela wazo zombili iziteleka eMoscow kanye nokucwila kwezikebhe ezimbili wukuthi abase-Ukraine bahlose ukulwela ukulawula eduze nogu. Yebo, i-hardware yaseNtshonalanga izobaluleka - i-UK ithembise ukuhlinzeka ngekhulu lemicibisholo ye-Brimstone anti-ship kule nyanga - kodwa ukwaziswa kwesikhathi sangempela kanye nokukhomba nakho kuzoba kubalulekile. Empini olwandle, lapho imikhumbi ingakwazi ukucasha ngemuva kwezici zendawo, lokhu kubalulekile. IMpi YaseMidway phakathi neMpi Yezwe II, ngokwesibonelo, yaphendukela e-United States cishe ngokuphelele ngenxa yekhono lezobunhloli baseMelika lokuhola ibutho lezempi laseMelika eliphakeme laseJapan.
AmaRussia kuzomele aqhamuke namasu amasha. Lokhu kungahlanganisa ukusebenzisa ulwandle “njengendawo eseceleni” ukudlula imigqa yabavikeli base-Ukraine emhlabeni, okufana nesinyathelo sikaGeneral Douglas MacArthur sokuyohlala e-Incheon eNhlonhlweni YaseKorea ngo-1950.
Enye inketho kungaba ukuvimba ichweba elibaluleke kakhulu lase-Ukraine, i-Odessa, emzamweni wokukhipha umnotho wase-Ukraine ezimakethe zomhlaba. Okwesithathu, amaRussia kungenzeka azame ukunikeza umlilo oqinile wokusekela ovela olwandle ngokumelene nezinhloso zase-Ukraine ogwini - muva nje babonise amandla okuqalisa imicibisholo ye-cruise ukuhlasela komhlaba kusuka kumkhumbi-ngwenya, isibonelo.
Ukuze balwe, abantu base-Ukrainian bangasebenzisa isipiliyoni samabutho abo aphansi, acekela phansi amakhulu amathangi aseRussia nezimoto ezihlomile, besebenzisa izikhali ezishibhile ezinikezwe abalingani baseNtshonalanga. Amayunithi akhethekile e-US Navy anesethi enhle yezinketho zokuvala ukuthunyelwa kwemikhumbi, futhi ezinye zalezi zinhlelo kufanele zinikezwe abantu base-Ukraine.
Iphakethe losizo likaMongameli uJoe Biden elihlongozwayo lika- $ 33 billion we-Ukraine lifaka i-hardware yezokuvikela ogwini. Amanye amalungu e-NATO, njengeNorway, anezinhlelo ezinhle kakhulu zasogwini ezinganikeza.
Kuyafaneleka ukucabangela uhlelo lokuphelezela imikhumbi yabathengisi base-Ukraine (nabanye kazwelonke) abafuna ukungena nokuphuma e-Odessa. Lokhu kuzofana nokuphelezelwa kuka-Ernest Will okuhlinzekwa emikhunjini ePersian Gulf ngesikhathi seMpi Iran nase-Iraq ngawo-1980.
Amazwe aseNtshonalanga angakwazi futhi ukuqhuba uqeqesho lokulwa nomkhumbi lwebutho lasolwandle lase-Ukraine ngaphandle kwezwe, ngokunokwenzeka eConstanta eseduze, eRomania. (Abantu baseRomania basanda kuqala ukunikeza ukufinyelela ezimpahleni zase-Ukraine ezisuka kulesi sikhumulo.)
Ekugcineni okuphezulu kakhulu kokungqubuzana / ubungozi, ama-Allies angase acabangele umsebenzi wezempi wasolwandle wokusiza abantu ukukhipha izakhamuzi (noma amabutho ezempi ase-Ukraine) edolobheni elizobhujiswa laseMariupol. Ukuchaza lokhu njengomzamo wokusiza abantu kuzokwenza kube nzima ukuthi iMoscow ihlasele imikhumbi ebambe iqhaza, kodwa kufanele ihlome ngendlela efanele futhi ilungele ukuvikela umsebenzi.
I-Black Sea enkulu kakhulu ingeyamazwe ngamazwe. Imikhumbi yempi ye-NATO imahhala ukuhamba cishe noma kuphi lapho ifuna khona, okuhlanganisa namanzi ase-Ukraine kanye nendawo yayo yezomnotho ekhethekile engamamayela angama-200. Ukunikeza la manzi eRussia akunangqondo. Esikhundleni salokho, kungenzeka babe yiqembu elilandelayo elikhulu empini yase-Ukraine.
Isithombe: I-Graffiti e-Sevastopol ngemva kokuthathwa kweCrimea, ebonisa uMongameli waseRussia uVladimir Putin / Bloomberg
Umthombo: Bloomberg TV Bulgaria
Qaphela: UJames Stavridis ungumbhali we-Bloomberg Opinion. Ungu-admiral osewathatha umhlalaphansi we-US Navy kanye no-Supreme Allied Commander kanye ne-Honorary Dean ye-Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy e-Tufts University. Uphinde abe nguSihlalo we-Rockefeller Foundation kanye nePhini likaMongameli Wezindaba Zomhlaba e-Carlyle Group.
